The Texas 10: Week 5, Vol. 2
5. Baylor Can't Lose Against Kansas
The Bears are 3-1 and play a 2-2 Kansas team in Waco on Saturday morning. The Jayhawks have looked average, and their "big" win against then No. 15 Georgia Tech suddenly doesn't look so impressive any more. The Bears are 4-0 all-time against KU in Waco, which says just how bad Kansas' football team has been.
Looking at the Bears' schedule, they need this desperately for a realistic chance of reaching the necessary six wins to qualify for a bowl. The schedule still has some winnable games, but they may not be favored in any of them. The Bears are favored by 9 against the Fightin' Turner Gills.
5.43 Baylor Hasn't Won a Home Opener Since 2006
5.12 In a Word - Baylor Must Be the Ball
4. The Kats Can't Lose
A slow week in the Southland Conf., but a rather large one for Sam Houston State. The Bearkats travel to first-year program Lamar. Even though the Cardinals are a surprising 2-2, an established program like SHSU can't lose games like this. Such games are allegedly automatic wins, but Lamar is making life a little more difficult for people than expected.
3. Saturday's Game at the State Fair Won't Determine the Big 12 South
It's probably safe to say that the Big 12 South hasn't been this open in a long time. But neither Texas nor Oklahoma look nearly as dominant as they have in the past. That should make the rest of the season more fun to watch. Both teams have taken turns looking very good - OU in a blowout against Fla. St.; UT handling Tech in Lubbock. Both have looked shaky - UT losing at home to UCLA, OU hanging on to win at Cincinatti.
3.45 Both UT and OU enter the game ranked among the AP Top 25 for the 34th time since the poll began in 1936 with OU holding a 16-14-3 edge.
3.244 UT RB D.J. Monroe Will Be Exposed In Pass Protection
Like the decision by St. Mack to put D.J. Monroe as a co-starter with Fozzy Bear for the Horns in the backfield. The Horns need special speed and Monroe has it. But given his lack of experience, he's apt to blow at least one or two blocking assignments when the Sooners bring the muscle to spook QB Garrett Gilbert.
3.13 OU Coach Bob Stoops Would Not Have Suspended Jaz Reynolds Had He Been a Demarco Murray
What OU WR Jaz Reynolds Tweeted this week about the tragedy at the UT campus was insensitive, and he deserved the suspension. Good for Used to Be Big Game Bob. There is not a part of me, however, that believes Stoops would have given a full-game suspension to a key member of his team, not against UT. You suspend the guy a full game you can win without to send a message to the rest of the tweener players; you suspend the key player you can't win without for one quarter, or just don't start him.
3.12 Since 1998, UT is 131-28, which is the NCAA's winningest team; in that same period, OU is 126-35, which is third. Who is tied for second? Boise State, with a 131-25 record.
2. A Bad Sign For UT
The Horns are 9-2-1 in Top 25 matchups against OU when it enters the game as the higher-ranked team. They are 5-14-2 when they are lower ranked. UT is ranked No. 21. OU is No. 8.
2.43 Do The Corny Dog
If you are going to the Texas State Fair for fun, or to watch the game, or both, you can't miss eating a corny dog. It should be a once-a-year delicacy.
1. Saturday's game will be decided by which QB makes the fatal mistake.
UT QB Garrett Gilbert has massive potential etched all over him, but given the nature of his running game plus young receivers he has one killer pick or fumble in his pocket that is going to be the difference. I see more positive plays than negative plays coming from OU QB Landry Jones. OU wins.
- Mac Engel
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