Some of the good people in and around Fort Worth and TCU Horned Frog nation are beginning to think Gary Patterson maybe isn't much of a ball coach any more. He knew this would happen.
Seems he has come down with a case of the stupids ... In TCU's last 14 games against "big boy" teams, they have six wins. Two of those are against SMU. I'm not counting SE Louisiana, for obvious reasons. Now he suddenly "can't coach", and is in over his head.
This is Frog flop.
Losing games was always going to happen when TCU joined the Big 12. Both fans, and media, were in denial that TCU was ready to win this conference this early into its time in this league. These transitions take time.
Much like when Gary's better teams were in the midst of climbing up Conference USA and the Mountain West, he has a defense good enough to compete. TCU's defense ranks fourth in the Big 12, and it is likely better than a Baylor defense that ranks second but has played nobody.
It was not until the caliber of the offense matched his defense under Gary at TCU did the whole team take off, and reach the Fiesta and Rose Bowls. The difference was when TCU was playing New Mexico, Utah, BYU and other MWC schools he could get away with a bus driving quarterback and a pedestrian offense.
Currently its rushing offense ranks ninth in the league, 10th in passing, and last overall. Other than that ...
TCU can stop Big 12 teams, but it can no longer expect to win if its offense can't remain on the field. How TCU ranks fourth in the league in time of possession is a crop-circle mystery.
Patterson does not have an accurate quarterback in Trevone Boykin, but his offensive line is still too young and weak not to need his footwork to escape trouble. The wide receivers have been a giant disappointment. No matter what TCU does this Saturday in Fort Worth against a wretched Kansas team it will not disguise those truths. The Frogs are 25-point favorites against the NAIA Jayhawks.
The out-clause to all of this is the injury to starting quarterback Casey Pachall, who has been out since since the second game of the season with a busted left forearm. The truth is we think he would be better than Boykin, but we don't know. He had never faced Big 12 opponents, and behind this offensive line he may not have had the time to complete passes.
It is hard to envision a TCU defense under Gary Patterson ever tanking.
It is impossible to evision TCU winning big if its offense doesn't come close to its defense.
It is unfathomable to believe Gary Patterson is a bad coach.
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